Juan Vargas

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Universidad del Rosario

Research Profile

Political economy and development, focusing particularly on the causes and consequences of violent armed conflict, the economics of crime and the interplay between political and economic institutions

Latin America, Colombia
English, Spanish, Italian

"Endogenous Taxation in Ongoing Internal Conflict: The Case of Colombia", forthcoming, American Political Science Review (with R. Ch, A. Steele and J. Shapiro)

"Does the Unemployment Benefit Institution affects the Productivity of Workers? Evidence from the field", Management Science Vol. 63(11), p. 3691-3707 (with M. Blanco and P. Dalton)

"Commodity Price Shocks and Civil Conflict: Evidence from Colombia" Review of Economic Studies Vol. 80 (4): 1384-1421 (with O.Dube).

"The Need for Enemies", Economic Journal Vol. 126 (593): 1018-1054 (with L. Fergusson, J. Robinson and R. Torvik)

"Inequality, Crime, and the Long Run Legacy of Slavery" forthcoming Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (with P. Buonanno)

"Economic Shocks and Crime: Evidence from the Crash of Ponzi Schemes", Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization Vol. 131: 263-275 (with. D. Cortés and J. Santamaría).

"The Crime Kuznets Curve", Journal of Quantitative Criminology Vol. 33(4): 753-782 (with P. Buonanno and L. Fergusson).

"True Believers, Deserters, and Traitors: Who Leaves Insurgent Groups and Why" Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 59(5): 794-823 (with B. Oppenheim, A. Steele and M. Weintraub).

"Beyond Divide and Rule: Weak Dictators, Natural Resources and Civil Conflict", European Journal of Political Economy Vol. 53: 205-221 (with G. De Luca and P. Sekeris)

"Vote Choice and Legacies of Violence: Evidence from the 2014 Colombian Presidential Elections", Research and Politics Vol. 2 (2) (with T. Flores and M. Weintraub)

"Can SMS Technology Improve Low Take-up of Social Benefits?" Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy Vol. 20(1): 61-81 (with M. Blanco)

"The Persistent Colombian Conflict: Subnational Analysis of the Duration of Violence" Defence and Peace Economics Vol. 23(2): 203-223

"Sovereign Risk and Armed Conflict: An Event-study for Colombia" Defence and Peace Economics Vol. 23(2), pp. 185:201 (with A. Castañeda)

"Rebellion, Repression and Welfare", Defence and Peace Economics Vol. 22(5): 563-579

"Combatant Recruitment and the Outcome of War" Economics of Governance Vol. 12(1): 51-74 (with A. S. Mahmud)

"Violence and Growth in Colombia: A Review of the Quantitative Literature" The Economics of Peace and Security Journal Vol. 6(2): 15-20 (with A. Riascos)

"The Severity of the Colombian Conflict Cross-Country Datasets versus New Micro Data" Journal of Peace Research 43(1): 99-115 (with J. Restrepo and M. Spagat)

“The Dynamics of the Colombian Civil Conflict: A New Data Set” Homo Oeconomicus 21(2): 396-428 (with J. Restrepo and M. Spagat).